Purdue Basketball: Oregon Preview

COLLEGE PARK, MARYLAND - JANUARY 02: Head coach Dana Altman of the Oregon Ducks watches the game against the Maryland Terrapins at Xfinity Center on January 02, 2026 in College Park, Maryland. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

2025-2026 Season

Overall Record: 8-14

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Big 10 Record: 1-10

Previous 3 Games

2/1: L – 66- 84 vs Iowa @ Home

1/28: L – 57 – 73 vs UCLA @ Home

1/25: L – 57 – 72 vs Washington @ Away

Illinois Personnel

StartersPosition#PlayerClassHeightWeightMinPtsRebAstPoint Guard5Takai SimpkinsSr.6’5″190311332Shootiong Guard12Drew CarterSr.6’3″19010110Small Forward4Dezdrick LindsaySr.6’6″21521531Power Forward10Kwame Evans Jr.Jr.6’10”220311472Center32Nate BittleSr.7’0″250281672BenchPosition#PlayerClassHeightWeightMinPtsRebAstGuard/Wing24Jamari PhillipsSo.6’4″19512311Wing/Forward6Oleksandr KobzystyiSr.6’8″21010310Guard23Wei LinSo.6’4″19018712Power Forward13Sean StewartJr.6’9″22522761

Key Analytics

(Per KenPom.com – National Rank in ())KenPom Ranking – 42Offense

Adjusted Efficiency: 113.1 (110)

Adjusted Tempo: 65.4 (282)

Average Possession Length: 18.2 (262)

Effective Field Goal%: 49.5 (259)

Offensive Rebound%: 35 (59)

Three Point%: 32.4 (251)

Two Point %: 50.1 (241)

Defense

Adjusted Efficiency: 106.6 (124)

Adjusted Tempo: 65.4 (282)

Average Possession Length: 17.6 (219)

Effective Field Goal%: 51.3 (186)

Offensive Rebound%: 31.9 (236)

Three Point%: 34.8 (228)

Two Point %: 50.7 (141)

Key Stat for Purdue

Throw the analytics out the window. Oregon has lost 8 straight games, and they’ve lost their last three games by an average of 17 points. This wasn’t a good basketball team when healthy, and they aren’t healthy. There’s not any more analysis required.

Key State for Oregon

I’ve been burned by injury reports before, but it looks like star center Nate Biddle will be available for the first time since he went down to an ankle injury on January 13th in a 90-55 embarrassment. He’s a load down low at 7’0”, 250, but I’m going to guess that taking three weeks off isn’t going to help his stamina. Even with Bittle, they weren’t good, but maybe they’ll be less bad?

Brief Thoughts

Purdue is a good team. Oregon is a bad team.

Good teams should beat bad teams.

This is college basketball. Upsets happen, and Oregon knocking off Purdue wouldn’t be the most outrageous outcome this season, but it would be close. I have a rather active imagination, and while Oregon could win this game, I have no idea what that would look like other than a total Purdue collapse involving multiple Boilermakers with both food poisoning and the flu.

Predictions

KenPom

Purdue: 82

Oregon: 75

Drew

Purdue: 87

Oregon: 67

Looking Into the Crystal Ball

Purdue has struggled against a couple of upper-echelon teams this season. Whatever echelon Oregon belongs to, it’s not the upper one. The last time Purdue took the Mackey Arena court, they lost to Illinois. An angry Purdue team puts on a show for the home fans in this one and ends it early.

The walk-on squad needs to be stretched and ready to go in this one.

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