NHL draft lottery odds: When was the last time each team made a top 10 selection

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We’re just about one week away from the start of the Stanley Cup playoffs. However, the teams discussed in this article will have another date in mind: the May 5 NHL draft lottery, which is less than a month away.

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For some of these teams in the bottom 10 of the NHL standings, this could be the first time in quite a while that they make a top-10 selection at the draft.

Here are the current draft lottery odds, and the last time each team had a top-10 pick for the NHL draft.

1. Vancouver Canucks, 25.5 Percent

The Vancouver Canucks have secured the best odds for the draft lottery when they officially finished last place earlier in the month. 

The last time the Canucks drafted in the top 10 was in 2019. With the 10th pick, they selected right winger Vasily Podkolzin. He’s played 298 NHL games, recording 45 goals and 96 points, and has spent the past two seasons with the Edmonton Oilers.

MORE: 2026 NHL draft rankings: Envisioning where top prospects fit best

2. Chicago Blackhawks, 13.5 Percent

The Chicago Blackhawks aren’t in unfamiliar territory, as they’ve been bottom feeders for multiple years. That means you don’t have to go far to find the last time the Blackhawks had a top-10 draft pick. In fact, the organization has had top-10 picks in each of the last four drafts.

Last year, it was center Anton Frondell whom the Blackhawks selected with the third pick in the 2025 draft. The 18-year-old made his NHL debut in late March and has already made a difference, recording three goals and eight points in nine contests.

3. Calgary Flames, 11.5 Percent

Despite being a bottom-three team in the NHL, the Calgary Flames were only officially eliminated from playoff contention on Tuesday. 

The last time the Flames had a top-10 pick was in 2024, when they selected defenseman Zayne Parekh with the ninth pick. 

Parekh led all defensemen at the most recent World Junior Championship in scoring and made his NHL debut last season. He only made one appearance last year, but has played 33 games for Calgary this season, posting seven points.

4. New York Rangers, 9.5 Percent

The New York Rangers likely won’t be giving up their spot at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings.

The last time the Rangers had a top-10 pick was a first-overall selection in 2020. At that draft, the Blueshirts picked up left winger Alexis Lafreniere, who has made 459 NHL appearances since then.

The 24-year-old has grown as a cornerstone player for New York, recording 24 goals and 55 points in 79 appearances this season.

5. Seattle Kraken, 8.5 Percent

The Seattle Kraken are another team that doesn’t have to look far to find their last top-10 pick. Though they were pushing for a wild-card spot in the Western Conference, the roster still isn’t strong enough to sustain consistency.

Seattle selected Jake O’Brien of the OHL’s Brantford Bulldogs at last year’s draft. O’Brien was picked eighth in the opening round and is having another phenomenal campaign in Brantford.

MORE: Seattle Kraken President Ron Francis To Step Down

6. Toronto Maple Leafs, 7.5 Percent

It’s been an awfully long time since the Toronto Maple Leafs had a top-10 pick in the NHL draft. That’s because they’ve made the playoffs in each of the last nine seasons, a streak that ended this year.

However, the wait for the Maple Leafs to obtain a top-10 pick may have to wait. If they don’t land in the top-5 of the draft lottery, this year’s draft pick will become the Boston Bruins’. Furthermore, the Philadelphia Flyers own Toronto’s first-rounder for next season, too.

Anyhow, the last time the Leafs did pick in the top-10 was when they selected superstar center, Auston Matthews, first overall in 2016.

MORE: 6 Maple Leafs players likely playing their final games in Toronto

7. Florida Panthers, 6.5 Percent

The back-to-back Stanley Cup champions will get a shot at making a high pick at the upcoming draft. The injury-plagued Florida Panthers have been Cup contenders for the last three seasons, reaching the final each time.

This time around, they’re in line to make a top-10 pick, and whether they keep that player or move the asset to be competitive again next year is to be seen.

At any rate, the last time Florida picked in the top 10 was in 2017, nine years ago. That was when they selected right winger Owen Tippett with the 10th overall pick. Tippett, 27, played just parts of three seasons with the Panthers before being traded to the Flyers in 2022. 

MORE: Panthers Grant Maple Leafs, Devils Permission To Talk To Assistant GM Sunny Mehta

8. St. Louis Blues, 6.0 Percent

The St. Louis Blues were a stellar team just after the NHL trade deadline, leading up to April. While they’ve cooled off a bit, they can’t undo the damage they dealt to their draft lottery odds.

It hasn’t been too long since St. Louis last picked in the top 10 of the NHL draft. In 2023, the Blues selected center Dalibor Dvorsky. Dvorsky, 20, has made 69 NHL appearances, 67 of which have been this season.

9. San Jose Sharks, 5.0 Percent

The San Jose Sharks are no strangers to top-10 picks in the NHL draft. In the last three drafts, the Sharks have made a top-five pick.

Last year, they scooped young center Michael Misa with the second-overall pick, just one year after they drafted Macklin Celebrini with the first pick of the 2024 draft.

Misa is in his first NHL season. The 19-year-old has featured in 41 contests and has scored seven goals and 17 points. 

10. New Jersey Devils, 3.5 Percent

Though the New Jersey Devils have made the post-season in two of the last three seasons, but they are also no strangers to a top-10 draft pick. 

The last time they had such a pick was in 2024, when they selected defenseman Anton Silayev. Furthermore, in the last nine years, the Devils have had six top-10 draft picks, including Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes, Luke Hughes, Simon Nemec, and Alexander Holtz.

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